How the markets can mirror a game of Guilty Gear?

by Mark Williams on December 16, 2012

I will be returning to some meat a potatoes post soon, but before I do, I wanted to share something.

In my spare time, I love to play video games. In particular, I love, love, love FIGHTING GAMES.

The reason I love fighting games so much is because unlike other competitive games out there you go man-to-man (one on one) versus an opponent, and but also in order to beat your opponents you must become one with the game.

You must study and practice techniques in the these game over and over and over again until you gain mastery.

There is a trading lesson here, just wait a moment.

Almost every fighting game has a training mode. This mode allows you to practice movement with your character, combinations of moves, etc. so that when go out into battle, you are prepared.

However, nothing can take the place of going out and fighting a real opponent. And no matter how much time you spend in training mode, real life does not always mirror the simulation, which brings me to this:

  • The final skill that you have to learn when playing fighting games is PATTERN RECOGNITION.

In the above video (you do not have to watch it because it has horrible, horrible gameplay from yours truly and an online opponent), I faced a guy online on Xbox 360.

After he got some good licks in on me, I noticed something:

  • My opponent always mashed on the punched button.

Watch the video and you will notice it. It is very blatant what he is doing, but there is a reason for it.

With the character that he had, mashing on the punch button is not a bad idea. A couple of punches leads into a combo that can take up to 50% of your opponent’s life away. And since the character that I was playing had low defense and had worse attack hitbox than him, his mashing of punch would beat out a lot of my normal moves.

So Mark, if he was doing something that was smart, what’s the problem?

The problem was that I recognized that he was mashing over and over. I found a pattern in his gameplay,  I exploited it to multiple victories — and he almost never adapted.

When is comes to trading, ADAPTABILITY is vitally important.

You may have the greatest trading algorithm known to man-kind, but if you or your algorithm are not adaptable to changes in the market (sentiment, direction, high volatility, lo volatility, up trend, downtrending, etc.), you may have a great strategy, or a great plan…that causes you to go broke because you are mashing on punch the whole time while the market is throwing invincible poofballs at you. 🙂

By the way, later in the video the Sol player eventually adapts to what I was doing to him. My whole plan was to hit him and run, using only special attacks since my normal attacks would not beat his special attacks.

However, when I changed tactics (like how the market you are trading can do sudden moves against due to breaking news, or some big bank algo going haywire),  he then reverted right back to mashing mode, and got lit up accordingly.

Long story short, be ready to change your gameplan when things are not going according to plan.

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